Dolphins at Jets Week 3 Preview

It should be no surprise that the Jets have started the year 0-2. With both losses coming on the road (Buffalo and Oakland) the Jets will host the Dolphins for their first home game of the year. Both teams have made moves this Tuesday, the Dolphins have suspended linebacker Lawrence Timmons indefinitely after going AWOL before Sundays game vs the Chargers. Timmons holds an $11.025M dead cap hit with the Dolphins, which would split as $8.275M in 2017 and $2.75M in 2018 if indeed the Dolphins release Timmons. The Jets waived return man Kalif Raymond after he fumbled a punt that resulted in a Marshawn Lynch touchdown.

The Jets were competitive for the first half vs Oakland but the second half was a different story. With reports about how the locker room was positive after a blowout loss, the Jets need to come out with some fire and emotion in front of their home crowd. I don’t expect MetLife stadium to be bumping full of Jet fans eager for a win because the tank is on for a top pick in hopes to find a franchise Quarterback. The Dolphins week 1 affair with the Buccaneers was PPD due to Hurricane Irma, thus giving them more time than usual to prepare for the Chargers on the road. The Dolphins pulled out the win late thanks to a 54 yard field goal from Cody Parkey.

 

jets bag

The Dolphins come into Metlife favored by 6 points. Miami leans on Running back Jay Ajayi to carry the load. Ajayi forces a lot of missed tackles including 8 last week vs the Chargers. Ajayi is a violent and hard runner which could be big trouble for The Jets defense that ranks dead last against the run this season. The Jets have been dominant against the run in recent years but with the departures of Damon “Snacks” Harrison and Sheldon Richardson along with the declining play of Muhammad Wilkerson, rising star Leonard Williams cant stop the run by himself.

ajayi

Jay Cutler buys into Adam Gase and will continue to be a game manager until the run game slows down but I do not expect that to happen this Sunday. Many thought Cutler’s gun slinging mentality would result into big production from DeVante Parker. Cutler didn’t force it down the field which resulted in 13 catches for Jarvis Landry, but for only 78 yards. With Jarvis Landry most likely to run a majority of his routes from the slot I expect Buster Skrine to shadow Landry in the slot. Skrine is more familiar and comfortable playing inside. The Jets’ best corner is Morris Claiborne, if the Jets were smart, Claiborne should shadow DeVante Parker who is arguably a bigger threat than Landry. Former 4th round pick out of NC State, Juston Burris would be left on Kenny Stills who is a deep ball threat. Burris had a great week 1 in which he played 21 coverage snaps against Buffalo and was only targeted once. Burris allowed no receptions and also got an interception. Burris was quite the opposite in week 2 as veteran WR Michael Crabtree scored on him multiple times. Burris also whiffed on a tackle that resulted in Cordarrelle Patterson breaking free for a 43 yard touchdown run. We’ll see how Burris responds, although Bowles could bench Burris in favor of Darryl Roberts.

The Dolphins defense is not great, though it might look great on Sunday. The Jets offense is lacking play makers and they aren’t even using there best one, Bilal Powell. Powell only has 18 touches in 2 games and only saw the rock for 6 carries vs Oakland for 13 yards. Matt Forte totaled 13 touches for 91 yards. Forte should be fazed out of the offense sooner rather than later and it might not even be in favor of Powell. Rookie Running back Elijah McGuire was drafted in the 6th round out of Louisiana. McGuire ran it 6 times for 29 yards and reeled in a catch for 7 yards this past week. Jermaine Kearse has made a pretty smooth tradition to being the Jets number one receiver. Kearse and Jeremy Kerley are the only veteran receivers on the roster and Kerley is blocking the playing time of rookie ArDarius Stewart, as Stewart barely played vs Oakland. Another head scratching move from the Jets. With the tank in full effect there is no reason for the young players to not play. Miami only allowed Melvin Gordon to run 9 times for 13 yards but Gordon was a factor in the receiving game catching 7 balls for 65 yards. Powell and Forte could blossom in that aspect but if the Jets fail to establish the run Josh McCown will be forced to throw especially if the Jets are trailing. McCown will have a new weapon to throw to in Austin Seferian-Jenkins as he comes back from a 2 game suspension. Seferian-Jenkins had a great training camp and has cut alcohol out of his life which had been an issue for him the past. Standing at 6’5 Seferian-Jenkins could establish himself as the main vocal point in the Red Zone for the Jets. The Dolphins let up the third most touchdowns to tight ends last year (10). Seferian-Jenkins could make an impact for the struggling offense instantly. Robby Anderson is due to catch a deep ball and I think he can burn Byron Maxwell if the Dolphins decide to put Maxwell on Anderson. Maxwell has struggled over the last few seasons and he simply can’t run with Anderson. Anderson had stat lines of 4-49-0 and 4-80-1 against Miami last year.

Score Prediction: Dolphins 27, Jets 17

 

 

 

 

 

 

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